Earnings · resolved market
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab00b6c2fbfcd78e455c135b1b57e2089bc2c3a9d28ee3905c411d2a5804067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,558$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 8c | 3,967$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 11c | 2,280$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 10c | 2,040$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…9bb1backed No | 7c | 1,212$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…e5fcbacked No | 7c | 1,173$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 33c | 1,028$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 14c | 727.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 714.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked No | 10c | 700.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 79c | 628.07$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 9c | 593.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 17c | 590.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 13c | 510.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 11c | 499.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…383dbacked No | 6c | 463.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 12c | 442.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.14 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 77c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 8c | 399.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 77c | 358.72$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 13c | 351.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 16c | 319.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 13c | 310.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 9c | 300.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked No | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 9c | 297.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 14c | 284.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 80c | 264$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…aa85backed No | 14c | 226.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…c11abacked No | 9c | 136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 18c | 128.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed No | 15c | 108.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 15c | 107.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed No | 14c | 105.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 15c | 91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…463cbacked Yes | 74c | 80.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…2d7dbacked No | 20c | 69.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 23c | 44.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…9cd1backed Yes | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…7befbacked Yes | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…bdc6backed Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.