South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de0652ecc1f7ea177c3e090d511aa908ba6fd838ab7dabe27f405bc19dfdeb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 25,690$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.74 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,276$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.03 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 705$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 16c | 626.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 430.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 5c | 370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Yes | 14c | 357.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 77c | 180.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…db3ebacked Yes | 7c | 174.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 16c | 156.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 11c | 155.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 18c | 139.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…121bbacked Yes | 15c | 132.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 14c | 103.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.