College Football · resolved market
Coastal Carolina vs. Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15edc70aa40e62e2686578b3fa79b6585ed749f4ff2533f2f3aa6438b44e19ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Coastal Carolina, Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Coastal Carolina | 18c | 13,501$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.19 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Coastal Carolina | 24c | 9,977$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.46 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Virginia | 77c | 5,397$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.28 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Coastal Carolina | 19c | 5,229$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Coastal Carolina | 8c | 5,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia | 75c | 4,051$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.61 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Coastal Carolina | 27c | 2,743$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.74 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Coastal Carolina | 18c | 1,595$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Coastal Carolina | 19c | 1,344$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Coastal Carolina | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia | 74c | 490$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Coastal Carolina | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Coastal Carolina | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Coastal Carolina | 17c | 177.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Coastal Carolina | 19c | 149$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Coastal Carolina | 20c | 126.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Coastal Carolina | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virginia | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Coastal Carolina | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Virginia | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.