AI · resolved market
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0111150c332eb6f53e9476ffbd86b5527a5a6bdcdeefbac1fbd47248fca7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 2c | 6,447$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 1c | 4,145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,924$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 41c | 2,844$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.34 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 28c | 1,620$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.58 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…0bb4backed Yes | 71c | 1,603$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 3c | 1,120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…be6bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,080$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…6edbbacked Yes | 79c | 962.54$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…999abacked No | 24c | 944.59$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 49c | 875.72$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 738.12$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 32c | 631.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…d5e8backed No | 51c | 577.92$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 461$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 71c | 446.1$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 442.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…df91backed Yes | 74c | 434.08$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 74c | 419.74$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed No | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…5baebacked No | 45c | 340.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 24c | 323$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…1c56backed Yes | 55c | 315$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 58c | 283.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 71c | 250.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 76c | 224.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…bdeebacked No | 25c | 223$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 25c | 218.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 73c | 214.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…7ee2backed No | 23c | 213$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…dfd9backed No | 25c | 189.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 8c | 183$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 176.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 49c | 166.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 60c | 165.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 26c | 160.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 153.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 55c | 151.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 139 | 71.9%100 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…6aeabacked Yes | 79c | 151.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…9408backed No | 49c | 146.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 70c | 143.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…16d1backed No | 25c | 141.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…f019backed Yes | 77c | 141.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…7b21backed Yes | 72c | 139.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 24c | 136.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…2cb2backed Yes | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 131.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed No | 29c | 129.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 18c | 129$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Yes | 79c | 127.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…7598backed No | 40c | 124.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 29c | 122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8a35backed No | 53c | 117.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 114.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…f7e2backed No | 32c | 100.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 59c | 100.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecf…802bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…3499backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Yes | 55c | 96.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked No | 45c | 90.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 20c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0c48backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 27c | 78.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 41c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 28c | 72.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Yes | 48c | 70.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 31c | 70.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…8799backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…b930backed Yes | 73c | 68.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 61c | 65.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…e6b3backed Yes | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb222…d26bbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…da45backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed No | 27c | 55.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 72c | 54.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…da60backed No | 32c | 53.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed No | 42c | 50.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…0aa5backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…4f88backed No | 42c | 46.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…5a99backed No | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 46c | 44.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb505…92d3backed No | 45c | 44.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed No | 49c | 41.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 35c | 38.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…517cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…964fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.