NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84796d75a7783952399abb7a2b0c500a69b671bf113dee4626508230b812d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,783 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 43c | 24,998$10,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,186.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…4c08backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,297$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Nuggets | 44c | 9,333$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.52 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nuggets | 60c | 6,023$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.33 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 5,900$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 5,461$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,944$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Grizzlies | 57c | 3,899$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.52 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,772$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.81 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,566$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,232$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 3,101$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.52 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…af8bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 3,091$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,081$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.07 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,479$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.71 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,423$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…e019backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,380$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,719$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.49 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Nuggets | 59c | 1,143$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…664ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…ba22backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…1ab0backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Grizzlies | 52c | 899$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.82 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…355fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 855$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nuggets | 51c | 762.72$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 587.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 586.72$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Grizzlies | 19c | 580.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.77 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 38c | 527.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…9864backed Grizzlies | 14c | 518$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…784fbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 515$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nuggets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 463$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Grizzlies | 26c | 450$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.16 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 430.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.71 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…da9dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 410$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…4040backed Grizzlies | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 386.68$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.14 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…648dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…44eebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 379$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 43c | 374.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…3f7cbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 365$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…0295backed Grizzlies | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…1e76backed Grizzlies | 53c | 345$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae8…afb1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 305$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +594.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…3cbdbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 305$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Nuggets | 68c | 300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…f4f7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Nuggets | 69c | 280$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…8ca4backed Grizzlies | 19c | 277.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Grizzlies | 36c | 275.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…6821backed Grizzlies | 53c | 266$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…0811backed Grizzlies | 14c | 259$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…4e85backed Grizzlies | 14c | 259$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Grizzlies | 39c | 252.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Grizzlies | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…3730backed Grizzlies | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…c2b6backed Grizzlies | 7c | 247$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +485.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…832dbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 245$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…9dc5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 244$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…2018backed Grizzlies | 9c | 235$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…284ebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 235$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 28cpaid | +196%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Grizzlies | 25c | 228.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Nuggets | 75c | 228.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nuggets | 67c | 210.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d52…1fcfbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 210$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…77b9backed Grizzlies | 14c | 210$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 43c | 197.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Nuggets | 49c | 194.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…e23bbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 185$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +521.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 183.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 157.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nuggets | 66c | 144.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nuggets | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nuggets | 45c | 109.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Nuggets | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 50c | 99.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nuggets | 56c | 95.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…33b4backed Grizzlies | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Grizzlies | 34c | 84.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 83.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Grizzlies | 20c | 64.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…8c46backed Grizzlies | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Nuggets | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nuggets | 44c | 57.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Nuggets | 71c | 56.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 52.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…bf25backed Nuggets | 71c | 49.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grizzlies | 33c | 43.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Nuggets | 59c | 43.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.