NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd5940171766feda9d165cbeaec176fb8f2cdcdb9892aeb93f5ee6803c4a04f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,784 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 80,000$50,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,210.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Nuggets | 0c | 38,983$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,943.55 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Nuggets | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Nuggets | 2c | 8,888$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,705.8 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,766$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.57 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,273$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.8 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…58eebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 4,062$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Nuggets | 65c | 3,564$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8539…c265backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,834$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…cfcebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,834$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 1,612$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.03 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…87f4backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,204$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…39a9backed Grizzlies | 8c | 853$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…96b7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 812$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…1073backed Grizzlies | 9c | 811$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…36dcbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 786$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…ef35backed Grizzlies | 9c | 760$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +306.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…f3a7backed Grizzlies | 8c | 749$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +981.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bd…b789backed Grizzlies | 4c | 725$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…1234backed Grizzlies | 3c | 719$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…e92ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 702$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…39a6backed Grizzlies | 12c | 694$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…9ceabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 675$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…14a6backed Grizzlies | 8c | 594$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Grizzlies | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…63d2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 480$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…8840backed Grizzlies | 11c | 466$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…8580backed Grizzlies | 8c | 462$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…22b1backed Grizzlies | 9c | 443$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…3358backed Grizzlies | 9c | 443$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…9c59backed Grizzlies | 10c | 438$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…6393backed Grizzlies | 9c | 428$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…9d2abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 428$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…dd5cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 421$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Grizzlies | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…4b19backed Grizzlies | 12c | 415$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…a63ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 415$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aee…23bebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 403$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…a9ccbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 403$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…aeffbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 401$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…ae01backed Grizzlies | 10c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…b349backed Grizzlies | 9c | 394$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…5293backed Grizzlies | 10c | 377$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…1fc0backed Grizzlies | 8c | 376$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…2099backed Grizzlies | 8c | 376$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…4031backed Grizzlies | 12c | 366$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…e34fbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 351$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…d1e4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 347$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…fd9ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 343$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…9aa9backed Grizzlies | 4c | 343$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…fc21backed Grizzlies | 8c | 342$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…b512backed Grizzlies | 8c | 342$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d65ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 341$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…bd29backed Grizzlies | 3c | 334$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…14b9backed Grizzlies | 4c | 331$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Grizzlies | 13c | 330.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…c8d2backed Grizzlies | 19c | 325$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…5779backed Grizzlies | 9c | 325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +553.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…254abacked Grizzlies | 3c | 321$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9e…45d5backed Grizzlies | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b0…5bddbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 297$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…c4bcbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 276$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…784fbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 266$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…493cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 253$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…a497backed Grizzlies | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…8280backed Grizzlies | 10c | 242$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…58fabacked Grizzlies | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…6801backed Grizzlies | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…3bc1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 219$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…25dabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 219$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…2344backed Grizzlies | 10c | 219$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f3…a48bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…0393backed Grizzlies | 10c | 211$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc166…da51backed Grizzlies | 14c | 195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…673cbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 186$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…122dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 185$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…9517backed Grizzlies | 12c | 183$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…f825backed Grizzlies | 12c | 183$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…eef0backed Grizzlies | 11c | 179$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…f410backed Grizzlies | 11c | 179$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Grizzlies | 19c | 175.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…e10fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…d667backed Grizzlies | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…bea0backed Grizzlies | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…b2c1backed Grizzlies | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…054fbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 147$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…e4c5backed Grizzlies | 19c | 147$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Nuggets | 27c | 145.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…9f2bbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 143$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.