TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,912 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb50e…866dbacked Yes16c6,976$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa916…3cbfbacked Yes28c3,629$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a4…6210backed Yes28c2,816$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x547e…9ea0backed No72c2,521$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…3122backed No72c2,334$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9d…f364backed No75c2,299$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a9…b30ebacked Yes33c1,876$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…849dbacked No69c1,876$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…7949backed No72c1,610$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…2e21backed No75c1,550$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b82…24bebacked No67c1,433$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-62.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a3…71c0backed Yes3c1,346$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ae…2f3abacked Yes28c1,159$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0357…5d20backed No72c1,114$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4206…2147backed Yes4c906$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a5…c1eabacked Yes4c889$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x918b…5b55backed Yes3c857$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6b…52d0backed Yes30c818$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…6a44backed Yes3c813$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380e…3aa8backed Yes6c749$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566f…86e4backed Yes5c716$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+296.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9c…e92ebacked Yes3c710$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75f…a7eabacked Yes3c702$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ce…d153backed Yes16c696$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…271ebacked Yes4c675$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffce…232abacked Yes2c645$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…d3e9backed Yes10c638$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+208.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e32…949ebacked Yes16c628$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc12…7f08backed Yes39c609$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…c4f4backed Yes8c608$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a0…6522backed Yes33c594$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a6…4c5bbacked Yes4c569$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes6c511.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2910028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfa…530cbacked Yes3c497$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b1…41a5backed Yes6c444$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ae…48ffbacked No67c443$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd5…0addbacked Yes4c442$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf3…3e76backed Yes6c435$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…8293backed Yes4c434$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…5ec0backed Yes4c421$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…caddbacked Yes27c413$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7d…fc08backed Yes27c413$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e4…62d8backed Yes3c409$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ded…96d5backed Yes3c409$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+232.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2799…7829backed Yes4c405$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35cd…8309backed Yes4c389$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4535…f4fdbacked Yes18c380$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e6…a187backed Yes4c376$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a22…7ecebacked Yes4c367$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234d…23c7backed Yes4c352$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…be7ebacked Yes4c352$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9352…fd25backed Yes4c348$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a3…c59dbacked Yes4c348$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+176.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4503…fb89backed Yes6c342$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff05…afe5backed Yes6c342$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd656…11d6backed Yes3c341$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+160.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd1…8ab1backed Yes4c335$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eeb…25e8backed Yes3c334$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9a…80a3backed No66c333$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71dd…4b63backed Yes34c333$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…a926backed Yes34c333$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…7d30backed Yes20c325$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3758…a87abacked No64c322$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc961…37f6backed Yes20c313.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2e…4e4dbacked No59c308$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ea…80b1backed Yes34c306$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ef…08a3backed No73c291$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d38…4b77backed No66c291$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73df…a2c8backed Yes7c290$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d4…1ac7backed Yes7c290$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb41…1b17backed No59c287$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a4…8d47backed No64c278$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b3…da66backed No69c276$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…55f3backed No66c261$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…f0fdbacked No66c259$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a20…281abacked No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf203…23b8backed No59c231$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e5…86bbbacked Yes34c226$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…2344backed Yes34c226$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2c…d36bbacked Yes9c222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…2f4ebacked Yes9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db3…e5c6backed No66c220$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…8a4bbacked Yes39c217$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91de…6bf0backed No66c202$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…ecbabacked No73c196$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x572b…fb03backed Yes6c196$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…f647backed Yes6c196$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d3…7036backed Yes18c190$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6c…71cebacked Yes18c190$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…0e4dbacked Yes7c174$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacaa…ce4dbacked Yes7c163$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+109.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcb…8e5fbacked Yes30c154$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked Yes9c142.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633b…a17fbacked Yes34c142$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c3…8503backed Yes8c135$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfb…64f1backed No73c89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162e…fe52backed Yes39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43d…c061backed No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+1,585.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.