NBA · resolved market
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987693e33033a6ceb85857c247cb104262bc427d81b7525e25fb7afe5bc57789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,225 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba4…7377backed Yes | 36c | 3,445$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…1ba8backed No | 63c | 3,025$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…6210backed Yes | 34c | 1,941$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…6254backed Yes | 34c | 1,504$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…dfabbacked No | 66c | 1,331$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…949ebacked No | 66c | 1,107$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…56f6backed No | 66c | 1,007$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…0010backed Yes | 17c | 804$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4d0cbacked Yes | 33c | 774$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…e754backed Yes | 27c | 754$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…fe6fbacked Yes | 22c | 740$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…6d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 704$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…9872backed Yes | 34c | 696.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…797dbacked Yes | 18c | 672$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b5…6010backed Yes | 19c | 652$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…0d88backed Yes | 34c | 645$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…0ecabacked Yes | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…1c0dbacked Yes | 40c | 586$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d03…a375backed Yes | 36c | 561$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…7b11backed Yes | 19c | 550$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a816backed Yes | 44c | 547$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…002bbacked Yes | 19c | 509$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…0169backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ca…cad3backed Yes | 44c | 490$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…ad97backed Yes | 33c | 482$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…905dbacked Yes | 50c | 477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…ee9cbacked No | 61c | 465$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…2b77backed Yes | 27c | 458$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6150backed No | 36c | 456$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…232abacked Yes | 29c | 456$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…0755backed Yes | 29c | 446$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…e42ebacked Yes | 29c | 446$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…8bdcbacked Yes | 44c | 439$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afe…4946backed Yes | 50c | 436$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…f752backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…cab5backed Yes | 34c | 420$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…8612backed No | 63c | 420$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828a…3304backed Yes | 18c | 410$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…f3fcbacked Yes | 23c | 394$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…e42bbacked Yes | 23c | 394$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…0412backed No | 56c | 387$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…f712backed Yes | 34c | 385$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…6b6ebacked Yes | 34c | 385$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…f7e4backed No | 57c | 383$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +543.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…592dbacked Yes | 33c | 381$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…92f0backed Yes | 34c | 379$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c83…5f71backed Yes | 34c | 379$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…45eabacked Yes | 21c | 377$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…d3d8backed Yes | 21c | 377$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…7687backed No | 58c | 375$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…8e2ebacked Yes | 20c | 369$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…af7dbacked No | 56c | 366$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…dae7backed Yes | 23c | 365$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0a…b5b0backed Yes | 23c | 365$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…0961backed Yes | 19c | 363$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ec85backed No | 56c | 354$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…cfa0backed No | 57c | 354$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…e3fdbacked Yes | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…18d6backed Yes | 42c | 348$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…40d6backed Yes | 42c | 348$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…bd26backed No | 63c | 344$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…eb68backed Yes | 42c | 344$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…89abbacked No | 62c | 336$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd204…3880backed No | 66c | 336$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…207ebacked Yes | 20c | 333$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…5058backed No | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86a…15c8backed Yes | 20c | 333$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…87f4backed Yes | 13c | 333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…9a9cbacked No | 64c | 331$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…62a6backed Yes | 20c | 331$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…ab0dbacked Yes | 44c | 329$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…ce32backed Yes | 19c | 328$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…dfbcbacked No | 50c | 328$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2964backed Yes | 44c | 327$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…805dbacked Yes | 18c | 323$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10e…c81ebacked Yes | 44c | 316$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf3…3e76backed Yes | 18c | 314$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…bc2ebacked No | 62c | 309$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…4087backed No | 75c | 308$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…37d2backed No | 63c | 306$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb8…7602backed Yes | 40c | 306$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…93d6backed No | 58c | 304$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…a261backed No | 66c | 303$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…1d22backed No | 80c | 295$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df9…5110backed No | 80c | 293$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…1467backed Yes | 36c | 292$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…1ac7backed Yes | 36c | 292$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd9…0b59backed Yes | 38c | 286$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…c565backed No | 66c | 285$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…acafbacked No | 56c | 285$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…7203backed Yes | 20c | 284$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…9e2bbacked No | 66c | 282$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…16bbbacked Yes | 44c | 280$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…8f83backed Yes | 33c | 274$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…8a43backed Yes | 33c | 274$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…8ba6backed No | 58c | 271$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf50…561cbacked No | 63c | 268$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…aed4backed No | 66c | 264$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…68febacked No | 66c | 264$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…0975backed No | 77c | 264$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jonas Valančiūnas: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Under won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Grizzlies won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.