TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,676 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd61d…1d8cbacked Yes2c910$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb124…2b3ebacked Yes1c864$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7de…923bbacked Yes2c818$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdc…68a3backed Yes2c708$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…62a8backed Yes3c703$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606b…4968backed Yes31c696$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e2…2f5bbacked Yes3c685$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…029cbacked Yes42c678$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ae…3df3backed Yes42c619$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8775…a0eabacked Yes4c562$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87a…cad9backed Yes44c545$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…9147backed Yes45c519$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0d…99d9backed Yes31c509$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe342…4a6ebacked Yes44c496$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0854…644dbacked Yes5c453$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…9b60backed No49c451$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff7…7892backed Yes4c432$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ae…7a93backed No54c422$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a0…92e5backed Yes46c419$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+405.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa180…78f1backed Yes43c415$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c6…fa4fbacked Yes43c415$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe289…6c68backed No50c411$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12f…10dabacked Yes42c409$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6093…3560backed Yes28c407$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fd…73d8backed Yes28c407$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5d…ff43backed No58c405$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes3c402.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5110623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1f…9a5abacked Yes42c393$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a3…71c0backed Yes28c391.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db5…28fabacked Yes43c390$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6614…15febacked No54c388$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…0373backed Yes46c386$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5857…da38backed Yes21c373$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.21333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac1…ed49backed No54c367$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3087…4e89backed No57c366$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6e…3c2bbacked Yes4c365$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…a83cbacked Yes46c364$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c8…2a34backed No54c364$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d9…7450backed Yes3c362$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…1ec0backed Yes3c362$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43e…beccbacked No58c355$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…1628backed Yes21c351$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e834backed Yes35c348$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4c…ebdabacked No58c345$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc49…45e5backed No57c341$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e6…e1f6backed No58c329$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea7…9ea7backed No54c326$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cc…edb4backed No57c326$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14e…4369backed No58c318$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…b3afbacked No54c317$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46c3…5facbacked Yes42c316$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865e…3aa0backed Yes44c314$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b5…8485backed Yes46c311$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc3…420abacked No57c311$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa9…1c6dbacked No54c297$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb3…fe67backed No72c297$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa439…9c5cbacked No54c285$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b56…0429backed No58c282$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba28…652dbacked No49c280$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2479…a837backed No54c273$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+376.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb3…dc74backed No58c272$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b6…41fcbacked No58c268$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4757…17d6backed No79c264$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…00afbacked Yes13c253$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…5ec0backed No73c252$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…5667backed No73c247$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7745…8411backed No75c246$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…a6c8backed No79c240$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+663.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa0…0a24backed No73c235$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8f…a578backed No75c233$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…94a7backed No79c212$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811b…b33bbacked No79c208$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6464…23e3backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f0…2bb3backed Yes21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea40…95cebacked No73c190$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…2890backed Yes46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f6…d40abacked Yes46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+213.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb20…a79ebacked Yes46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab5…9c13backed No75c179$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fe…638cbacked Yes42c174$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc034…e754backed Yes42c174$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad7…5429backed Yes44c168$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd6…8a46backed No50c159$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e63…6c86backed Yes43c124$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee6c…4a35backed Yes46c119$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc0…debcbacked No54c94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503f…d6b8backed Yes44c77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…c454backed No58c73.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe8…bbd4backed Yes45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd232…414fbacked Yes42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0287…b711backed No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.