Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82def31d3b624059e34a3ff59f295c95e222e83affce35ea4176f6fc4c8e77a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 62c | 44,001$27,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,707.79 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 13c | 18,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 55c | 17,154$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.25 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 22c | 11,228$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.69 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 30c | 10,700$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 70c | 9,861$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,884.45 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 16c | 7,052$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.33 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 65c | 4,240$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…b9c8backed Yes | 75c | 3,860$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 73c | 3,303$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,800$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 63c | 2,249$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.27 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…4c69backed No | 30c | 2,190$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,156$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 60c | 1,502$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.03 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 46c | 1,251$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 62c | 1,185$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…d491backed No | 16c | 1,107$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked No | 34c | 1,100$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +297.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked No | 56c | 894.64$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 777$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.81 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed Yes | 64c | 705.1$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…3421backed No | 43c | 619.59$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 27c | 472.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 30c | 336.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked No | 60c | 334.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 53c | 330.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 70c | 330$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…2dd1backed Yes | 32c | 312.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 73c | 310$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 71c | 229.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 52c | 215.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 197.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 48c | 185.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…afe2backed Yes | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…f766backed Yes | 80c | 129.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…c640backed Yes | 21c | 125.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +381.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…b831backed No | 69c | 124$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yes | 40c | 103.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed Yes | 41c | 100.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…8f04backed Yes | 73c | 100.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…467ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…a67dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…ee1fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 55c | 99.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…510cbacked Yes | 48c | 89.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…ecb7backed Yes | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…36ccbacked Yes | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…1f69backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…d5cebacked No | 65c | 38.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed Yes | 76c | 29.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…11cbbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4908…6de1backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…902dbacked No | 76c | 14.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.