Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14466708f6ebef1ffaa7fb4d3243bdb69329f19336ba60ecfddf0b868e72b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 31,037$17,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,626.3 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 43c | 26,330$11,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,320.43 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 52c | 10,500$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 48c | 7,983$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 5,175$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 51c | 1,729$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 701.68$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 4c | 652$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +2,117%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 45c | 442.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 43c | 336.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 56c | 208.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 70c | 189.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 49c | 164.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 46c | 74.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed No | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.