MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa774685d9783f0812736011f4666aad0be38bab39638b03da4514f66b482b41c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Mariners, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Mariners | 47c | 540,277$254,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,568.91 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 53c | 168,265$88,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,589.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 53c | 69,999$37,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,899.53 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 53c | 44,290$23,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.3 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 53c | 35,185$18,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,632.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yankees | 53c | 33,728$17,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,852.16 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 53c | 30,103$15,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,248.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 59c | 16,922$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.06 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 54c | 16,599$8,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.09 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yankees | 55c | 13,579$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.5 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yankees | 54c | 13,351$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.97 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees | 54c | 11,660$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.61 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 54c | 11,344$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 52c | 10,617$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.34 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 54c | 10,164$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.64 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 56c | 10,147$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 52c | 7,494$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yankees | 57c | 7,036$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.38 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 54c | 6,899$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 6,600$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yankees | 54c | 6,510$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mariners | 46c | 5,946$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 59c | 4,873$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.08 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners | 45c | 4,674$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 54c | 4,431$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 54c | 4,095$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 47c | 2,122$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.31 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yankees | 75c | 1,920$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Mariners | 46c | 1,895$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.7 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yankees | 54c | 1,837$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Yankees | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Mariners | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 2c | 1,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 46c | 1,161$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.96 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 43c | 1,140$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 48c | 1,059$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yankees | 55c | 1,033$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Mariners | 41c | 999.43$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 40c | 998.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 53c | 952.38$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.62 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 3c | 905$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Yankees | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Yankees | 52c | 769.07$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Mariners | 46c | 651.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 52c | 579.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mariners | 48c | 578.93$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 54c | 556.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…b168backed Yankees | 55c | 545.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yankees | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 55c | 470.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 52c | 440$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 49c | 410.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 5c | 389$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 46c | 366.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Yankees | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yankees | 55c | 351.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mariners | 46c | 343$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Yankees | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 53c | 329.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yankees | 55c | 327.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 21c | 318.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 45c | 301.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees | 68c | 294.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 46c | 263.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 53c | 255.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 58c | 234.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Mariners | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yankees | 76c | 214.23$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yankees | 54c | 210$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…74bcbacked Mariners | 48c | 209.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 63c | 201.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mariners | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yankees | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yankees | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Mariners | 10c | 196.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 45c | 182.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Mariners | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 45c | 171.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yankees | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yankees | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yankees | 55c | 169.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.