Ukraine · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3616476be8d52eb72fe8fc644c61c96a568b34a73aad6c3e7bbccffebe64ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 80c | 16,220$12,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.85 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 32c | 5,638$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.33 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 3,870$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.14 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,212$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 68c | 2,678$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.87 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,298$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.06 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…f6d6backed Yes | 35c | 1,980$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 78c | 1,890$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed Yes | 36c | 1,165$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…6927backed Yes | 1c | 1,034$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 21c | 999.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 32c | 954.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 33c | 821.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.08 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed Yes | 27c | 747.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…f068backed No | 75c | 695$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 69c | 652.81$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 67c | 638.03$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 622.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 599.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed Yes | 29c | 517.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 29c | 498.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked Yes | 39c | 442.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 395.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed Yes | 51c | 391.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 17c | 385.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b2…fc3cbacked Yes | 4c | 377.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Yes | 34c | 365.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342e…7e88backed Yes | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 66c | 322.54$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 41c | 317.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 36c | 280.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 35c | 240.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 223.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 5c | 221.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…5e2dbacked Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked No | 76c | 208.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 206.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 60c | 206.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c1…4135backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…d7ebbacked No | 66c | 199.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 65c | 178.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 33c | 175.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…09a7backed No | 71c | 168.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ec…9a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…ac61backed Yes | 37c | 149.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609c…bb25backed No | 67c | 146.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 18c | 127.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 65c | 126$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…1f1cbacked No | 62c | 115.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked Yes | 45c | 89.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1b46backed Yes | 24c | 83.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…b1f7backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…c4a3backed Yes | 20c | 73.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 34c | 73.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 72c | 72.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked No | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b7cfbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…b9a7backed Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 66.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 35c | 65.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 24c | 54.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…fc09backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 51.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…0df2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 27c | 48.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…0053backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…1fc0backed Yes | 44c | 45.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked Yes | 36c | 45.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…42d6backed No | 67c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 27c | 43.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 63c | 42.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed No | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb618…40eebacked Yes | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 52c | 32.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 64c | 32.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 70c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…4853backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6c…570fbacked Yes | 40c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed No | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 45c | 25.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…5679backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…0ac1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…dae2backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…90dfbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…5e17backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.