Fifa International · resolved market
Concacaf Gold Cup: Mexico vs. Honduras (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b5f54e7d8af0f88734981515145dc7d20434302460076646a3fd301cf5c8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mexicoof Mexico, Honduras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Honduras | 17c | 10,192$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.57 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Honduras | 17c | 6,998$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Honduras | 17c | 5,962$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.8 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Honduras | 15c | 1,884$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Honduras | 5c | 1,207$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Honduras | 15c | 1,197$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Mexico | 75c | 620$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Honduras | 16c | 578.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Honduras | 24c | 420$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Honduras | 15c | 322.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Honduras | 15c | 234$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Honduras | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Honduras | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Honduras | 15c | 150.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Honduras | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Honduras | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Honduras | 17c | 86.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Honduras | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…7452backed Honduras | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Honduras | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…63f2backed Honduras | 25c | 55.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Honduras | 25c | 49.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.