MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dce361a4af044721cdbfde2a84c5a2ce35756fb42670acca059933cd5f17b1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Mariners, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners | 2c | 114,546$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.08 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Mariners | 52c | 71,884$37,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,379.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 48c | 35,004$16,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,197.05 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners | 68c | 23,396$15,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.49 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 48c | 19,586$9,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,184.92 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yankees | 48c | 12,245$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.17 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 37c | 11,640$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Mariners | 1c | 10,141$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 10c | 8,505$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.53 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 9c | 7,883$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 24c | 6,945$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.52 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 30c | 6,643$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 55c | 4,743$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.67 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 29c | 4,208$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.62 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Mariners | 2c | 3,873$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…009fbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 16c | 2,965$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 24c | 2,880$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.96 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 3c | 2,843$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.27 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Mariners | 72c | 2,704$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 52c | 2,609$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.65 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yankees | 52c | 2,480$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.19 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 49c | 2,443$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 49c | 2,271$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.07 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees | 21c | 2,181$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.76 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 48c | 2,156$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 5c | 2,154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.2 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,101$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.87 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 41c | 2,089$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Mariners | 2c | 2,017$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 67c | 1,994$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.82 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 47c | 1,984$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…74c9backed Mariners | 1c | 1,923$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 46c | 1,809$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.59 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Yankees | 50c | 1,744$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…d3f0backed Yankees | 9c | 1,654$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mariners | 59c | 1,622$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.14 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yankees | 37c | 1,530$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.43 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mariners | 5c | 1,441$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Mariners | 52c | 1,396$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Yankees | 51c | 1,336$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.43 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Mariners | 45c | 1,287$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yankees | 28c | 1,260$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.19 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Mariners | 51c | 1,215$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.23 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 51c | 1,132$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yankees | 46c | 1,041$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.97 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mariners | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 35c | 986.15$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 47c | 825.38$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yankees | 47c | 816.61$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 48c | 790.59$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.71 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 67c | 759.48$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yankees | 48c | 754.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…7032backed Yankees | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 50c | 602.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 31c | 552.28$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 41c | 551.56$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Mariners | 76c | 539.85$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yankees | 40c | 522.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.34 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mariners | 34c | 514.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Mariners | 53c | 503.91$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mariners | 54c | 468.66$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mariners | 53c | 459.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Mariners | 45c | 439.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 59c | 438.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 54c | 412.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yankees | 56c | 411.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Yankees | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Yankees | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Mariners | 51c | 386.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Mariners | 28c | 362.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…f263backed Mariners | 51c | 350.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…9503backed Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Mariners | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Mariners | 50c | 298.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Yankees | 4c | 296.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.31 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…7712backed Yankees | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Yankees | 44c | 289.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners | 77c | 258.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 61c | 245.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Yankees | 41c | 244.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mariners | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 49c | 209.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Mariners | 52c | 200.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yankees | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yankees | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.