Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd914ebcce5678090e777dca828f1d973e696735add2c22c4c06af4e038a7607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 22c | 51,688$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 78c | 24,269$18,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.58 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 76c | 24,202$18,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.58 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 44c | 15,001$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed No | 70c | 6,805$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.67 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 4c | 5,742$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed No | 72c | 5,710$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 23c | 5,559$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.36 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 22c | 4,625$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 12c | 4,125$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Yes | 31c | 3,455$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…1b05backed No | 73c | 3,118$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 3,100$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 33c | 2,935$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 2,924$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 2,922$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.08 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 27c | 2,777$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 70c | 2,535$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 78c | 2,138$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.43 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,106$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.14 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 75c | 2,017$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 20c | 1,906$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 1,900$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 22c | 1,747$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 73c | 1,712$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 27c | 1,700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 16c | 1,688$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,665$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 31c | 1,176$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.26 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 1,080$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…b00cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 24c | 989.2$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 963.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…4d98backed Yes | 24c | 930$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 23c | 870.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 77c | 860.97$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 75c | 857.88$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 16c | 837.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…7c54backed Yes | 19c | 829.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 25c | 812$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 14c | 700$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…8578backed No | 69c | 670$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 75c | 626$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…39b8backed No | 69c | 623.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…757fbacked Yes | 25c | 611.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 600.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 24c | 589.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 566.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 33c | 545.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.12 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 542.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…815dbacked No | 76c | 540$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…cd45backed No | 76c | 523.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 21c | 512.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 77c | 501.47$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…6cf5backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 75c | 474$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 18c | 459.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…0f9abacked Yes | 22c | 455.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed No | 77c | 418.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 67c | 373$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 28c | 370.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 14c | 366.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 68c | 366.45$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 3c | 361.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 67c | 350$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 68c | 340$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 336.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…bde3backed No | 69c | 330$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Yes | 22c | 326.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 22c | 324.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 23c | 311.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…34c7backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…1f2cbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 13c | 287.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 35c | 287.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 280.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 31c | 259.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…6b7ebacked No | 80c | 250.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…17d2backed No | 77c | 239.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 234$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…253ebacked No | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed38backed No | 77c | 229.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…199bbacked No | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…f2ffbacked No | 73c | 203.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…7986backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 76c | 197.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed No | 77c | 194.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 76c | 188.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 78c | 178.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 77c | 174.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…c58ebacked No | 74c | 170.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…abafbacked No | 76c | 165$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 72c | 163.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 17c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed No | 48c | 149.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 79c | 148.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.