Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97309543141cd1715ce0084970d76001b98bd7a39081ff013f46e7b12121569a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed No | 2c | 69,717$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 8c | 17,540$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.52 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 8c | 12,581$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.98 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 7c | 11,604$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.01 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 14c | 10,826$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 14c | 10,742$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.71 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…4a2abacked No | 6c | 9,698$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…35eabacked No | 4c | 8,598$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 16c | 6,957$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.18 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…0ac8backed No | 16c | 6,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…2fcabacked No | 8c | 6,170$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…d33cbacked No | 5c | 5,520$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 10c | 4,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593b…12fdbacked No | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 10c | 3,891$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…6c84backed No | 7c | 3,567$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…39a0backed No | 8c | 3,555$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…9a00backed No | 9c | 3,528$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 10c | 3,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 11c | 3,465$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…d2b1backed No | 7c | 3,438$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 4c | 3,419$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…aae0backed No | 6c | 2,881$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…623ebacked No | 9c | 2,860$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 10c | 2,684$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.23 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…cb2dbacked No | 5c | 2,676$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed No | 14c | 2,500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 17c | 2,469$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…3f88backed No | 19c | 2,336$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 17c | 2,266$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.3 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed No | 8c | 2,111$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 3c | 2,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1a…0dd7backed No | 10c | 2,036$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 4c | 2,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed No | 6c | 1,861$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 13c | 1,845$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…a5b6backed No | 2c | 1,835$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 14c | 1,801$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 16c | 1,800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 5c | 1,777$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked No | 3c | 1,761$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…63c3backed No | 4c | 1,729$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked No | 2c | 1,675$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 13c | 1,600$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…08dbbacked No | 8c | 1,600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 3c | 1,586$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,577$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 11c | 1,530$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…377dbacked No | 7c | 1,517$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 6c | 1,500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed No | 14c | 1,292$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…a542backed No | 14c | 1,236$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…022cbacked No | 13c | 1,149$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…4f66backed No | 9c | 1,115$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…264bbacked No | 8c | 1,107$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…51b8backed No | 3c | 1,026$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked No | 3c | 1,022$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…a41abacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 12c | 992.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…aeb2backed No | 12c | 991.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 8c | 984.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…216dbacked No | 1c | 954.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 8c | 926.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…aee7backed No | 13c | 922.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked No | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…1ab6backed No | 10c | 799.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed No | 18c | 744.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…217cbacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed No | 11c | 682$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 4c | 676.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…4d6fbacked No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…bcccbacked No | 3c | 652.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 74c | 630$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…b852backed No | 15c | 627.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…6fffbacked No | 16c | 623.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…c597backed No | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 11c | 599.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 582.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed No | 10c | 572.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 11c | 555$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…fd46backed No | 5c | 548.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed No | 5c | 533.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…3d01backed No | 9c | 528.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…85e9backed No | 4c | 524.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked No | 9c | 522$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…c4ecbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…1cafbacked No | 12c | 470$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…8f12backed No | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…5ea9backed No | 4c | 449.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked No | 8c | 433.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.