Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54fcc591885c75d69a9fd0839b0dbfbd1da3872175a581e5b5ddddc7bf35dfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 17c | 8,734$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.96 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 79c | 7,567$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.53 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 7,155$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.36 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 78c | 6,642$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.69 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 25c | 6,041$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…27bebacked Yes | 20c | 5,779$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 75c | 5,337$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 4,592$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked No | 75c | 3,980$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.2 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 23c | 3,470$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.09 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…7246backed No | 66c | 3,257$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…6932backed Yes | 34c | 2,956$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,629$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,440$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 23c | 2,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,946$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,774$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 12c | 1,551$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 75c | 1,248$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.38 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…f4efbacked Yes | 34c | 1,227$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 4c | 1,206$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 67c | 1,149$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.23 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 76c | 1,100$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 71c | 1,100$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 7c | 1,061$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed Yes | 11c | 929.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e83…44babacked No | 76c | 890.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…b532backed No | 67c | 886.49$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6d…4747backed Yes | 30c | 836.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 788.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 28c | 768.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed No | 72c | 734.68$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…af9bbacked Yes | 29c | 704.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 696.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 77c | 649.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 607.62$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 31c | 581.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 71c | 568.87$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 64c | 529.52$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Yes | 23c | 522.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…f75abacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 71c | 499.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 52c | 465.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…166bbacked Yes | 20c | 455.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…649cbacked Yes | 10c | 437$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 428.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 43c | 423.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 423$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…3bc5backed No | 77c | 420.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 72c | 367.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed No | 78c | 364.37$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 28c | 361.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 79c | 353.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed Yes | 29c | 350.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…d43ebacked Yes | 37c | 332.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 67c | 332.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…5ee2backed Yes | 27c | 324$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 60c | 320.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 312.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 78c | 304.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…7abebacked Yes | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 68c | 296.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…7198backed No | 63c | 291$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 73c | 288.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7783…9245backed Yes | 22c | 281.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 27c | 266.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 61c | 260.61$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed No | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 7c | 225.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…5a7cbacked No | 77c | 225.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 210$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 32c | 189.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x244a…623abacked Yes | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…dd59backed Yes | 29c | 174.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed No | 78c | 166.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 166$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…a9f2backed Yes | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 66c | 151.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 26c | 141.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…086ebacked Yes | 36c | 126.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed Yes | 28c | 123.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…b561backed Yes | 17c | 120.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 117.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 109.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.