Us Politics · resolved market
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc465c12554c20f3e675ce316edea978ee1831829fbfb748d416ee5311b727b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 4c | 4,312$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 3,459$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.58 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…bd4abacked Yes | 60c | 2,815$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 48c | 2,460$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.74 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…5e0cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,333$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 60c | 2,052$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 2c | 1,557$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 38c | 1,509$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 40c | 1,507$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.37 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,506$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,396$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,283$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 46c | 1,237$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 9c | 1,107$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 10c | 1,035$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 41c | 965$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.5 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 47c | 806.54$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.87 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 60c | 777.18$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.94 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 43c | 728.02$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 49c | 722.45$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 62c | 718.38$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.77 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 67c | 706.61$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 639.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…8924backed Yes | 50c | 611$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0c…af7abacked No | 60c | 604.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 63c | 569.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 36c | 568.03$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 60c | 559.06$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 50c | 552$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 56c | 522$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed No | 79c | 507.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…62c3backed No | 40c | 498.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked No | 63c | 440.29$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 49c | 419.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked No | 55c | 381.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 42c | 362.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…a365backed No | 49c | 352$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed No | 37c | 336.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…6161backed No | 53c | 335$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 63c | 322.76$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 43c | 322.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8c6fbacked No | 42c | 318.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 64c | 314.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked No | 34c | 290.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 287.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 77c | 287.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 61c | 281.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 60c | 268.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…6bd3backed No | 61c | 246.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 27c | 238.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 237.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked No | 46c | 207.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…cd45backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…938fbacked No | 34c | 190$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 53c | 173.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 61c | 173.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 53c | 168.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 164.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 59c | 145$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 56c | 131$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed No | 39c | 129.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 68c | 123.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 62c | 117.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 47c | 116.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…2883backed Yes | 28c | 115.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 61c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked No | 55c | 108.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 43c | 107.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed No | 60c | 103.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…d0dcbacked No | 36c | 103.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 46c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 28c | 96.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2b…f9fcbacked No | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…9511backed No | 38c | 92.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a9…2c79backed No | 42c | 91.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…fa7fbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…4cdbbacked Yes | 61c | 89.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…3a85backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 34c | 87.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked No | 34c | 82.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed No | 57c | 82.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…7bb1backed No | 37c | 80.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 61c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…84cbbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked No | 56c | 79.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.