NBA · resolved market
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1542ef157889efa8387a276d0761109bd23f18e2cb8f54a196c21e204c2ac790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 71c | 2,431$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed No | 3c | 2,158$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…b6d3backed Yes | 63c | 1,598$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 28c | 1,486$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,103$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 20c | 1,037$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 13c | 945.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 839$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…8811backed No | 38c | 793.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 32c | 784.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…a434backed No | 3c | 774.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…ee86backed No | 36c | 764.28$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed No | 30c | 714$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 73c | 685.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Yes | 72c | 627.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…a64dbacked No | 33c | 600.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 80c | 595$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 62c | 585$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 28c | 505.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 79c | 455$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31f…b3a9backed Yes | 74c | 436.38$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 19c | 430.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 33c | 353.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 23c | 340.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…5535backed Yes | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed No | 26c | 314.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…60bebacked No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…02d8backed No | 36c | 279.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…5dc4backed No | 30c | 255$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…be73backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Yes | 79c | 239.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 28c | 224.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…e03abacked No | 12c | 209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…1407backed No | 59c | 204.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…15bfbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Yes | 71c | 159.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…8c8dbacked Yes | 78c | 147$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed No | 35c | 142.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…2b0abacked Yes | 70c | 141.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…45aabacked No | 40c | 126.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…d93abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 68c | 118$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…4ed7backed Yes | 60c | 113.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…f63dbacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…4bd5backed No | 39c | 105.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…9e90backed No | 21c | 104.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…290fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…a4efbacked Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed No | 33c | 91.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…d592backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…ffacbacked No | 39c | 86.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8aebacked Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…3f7abacked No | 27c | 73.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…3dd8backed Yes | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…17e7backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 67c | 68.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…aa31backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…78b1backed Yes | 72c | 50.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…5479backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…f04cbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…d44dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 231 | 39.8%92 W · 139 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Yes | 62c | 35.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…b703backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 147 | 64.6%95 W · 52 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…c7b9backed Yes | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…78bebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…6cc5backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 163 | 60.7%99 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…5969backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2e…7776backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…9c79backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?this page
- Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? No won
- Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday? No won
- Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday? No won
- Will Lebron announce trade or trade request Tuesday? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.