TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27cc…a4ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$78.66
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$8.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$61
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.3%+$14.45
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+27.3%+$12.85
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+733.3%+$189.48
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$9.25
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$30.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.44
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$24.59
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.44
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.72
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.41
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10.6
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.35
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.16
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.5
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.48
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$55.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.