NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf475900e6a2dfe52425a21e1b43ed787fbb8ff91dd2fcaa2733b06d801cde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Grizzlies, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Rockets | 60c | 7,402$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.71 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 63c | 5,913$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…d7d5backed Grizzlies | 39c | 4,433$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,409$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.95 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,189$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.19 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,605$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…ff78backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 999.91$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 977.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Grizzlies | 39c | 813.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Rockets | 60c | 794.95$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 43c | 589.47$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…ee18backed Rockets | 57c | 324.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…61c9backed Grizzlies | 44c | 324.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…5eacbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Grizzlies | 42c | 236.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 40c | 222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Rockets | 62c | 219.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 46c | 216.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Grizzlies | 28c | 200.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…2776backed Grizzlies | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…a4efbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 191.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…6197backed Grizzlies | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Rockets | 57c | 174.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…4334backed Grizzlies | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…e82dbacked Rockets | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Grizzlies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Rockets | 57c | 156.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…8531backed Grizzlies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Rockets | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Grizzlies | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…eef9backed Rockets | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Rockets | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Rockets | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…e854backed Rockets | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…6c7dbacked Rockets | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…f8f3backed Rockets | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c1…d979backed Rockets | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…dce1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…5405backed Grizzlies | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b807backed Grizzlies | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…2305backed Grizzlies | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…772cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…10b7backed Rockets | 58c | 97.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…a422backed Rockets | 57c | 97.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…8b0bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 94.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…d903backed Rockets | 62c | 81.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Rockets | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcd…8c5dbacked Rockets | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Rockets | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 64.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…5365backed Rockets | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Grizzlies | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 51.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Grizzlies | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rockets | 41c | 50.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Rockets | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Rockets | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Grizzlies | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…2965backed Grizzlies | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Rockets | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 60c | 44.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Rockets | 58c | 38.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Grizzlies | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…4a03backed Grizzlies | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…4d96backed Grizzlies | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Rockets | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Rockets | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…604dbacked Rockets | 57c | 23.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…a174backed Grizzlies | 44c | 23.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Rockets | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.