NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39c205a7859ee3b0c2b6b372011f037c6fb445f4723a7cc2baca7ec9e73898e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Cavaliers | 48c | 22,863$11,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,776.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 47c | 18,779$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.89 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bucks | 53c | 17,509$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.69 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…85c4backed Bucks | 55c | 14,198$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,176$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Bucks | 51c | 11,135$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…8780backed Cavaliers | 42c | 7,728$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 50c | 7,723$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.13 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bucks | 58c | 3,240$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 55c | 2,635$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Cavaliers | 41c | 2,520$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,435$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 31c | 2,126$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Bucks | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks | 42c | 1,681$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.63 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 1,596$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Cavaliers | 43c | 1,501$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.02 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,480$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…e82dbacked Bucks | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cavaliers | 38c | 1,098$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.95 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Cavaliers | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Bucks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.7 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…11cabacked Bucks | 10c | 904.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Cavaliers | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 820$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Bucks | 55c | 807.27$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 70c | 800$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Bucks | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 41c | 700$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…162bbacked Bucks | 56c | 685.52$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 532.29$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Bucks | 51c | 524.48$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 507$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 46c | 506.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Cavaliers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Cavaliers | 46c | 439.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Bucks | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bucks | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…034abacked Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…9bb8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 52c | 298.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 297$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Bucks | 55c | 295.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Bucks | 55c | 295.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Cavaliers | 41c | 254.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Cavaliers | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Cavaliers | 48c | 234.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Cavaliers | 30c | 233$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 217.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 46c | 207.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Bucks | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Cavaliers | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Cavaliers | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Bucks | 70c | 171.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Cavaliers | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Bucks | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Bucks | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Cavaliers | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Bucks | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Bucks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Cavaliers | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…f959backed Bucks | 54c | 119.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Cavaliers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 117$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Cavaliers | 76c | 112.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…4426backed Bucks | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…19b0backed Bucks | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Cavaliers | 47c | 106.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…9df3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…894fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 104.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Bucks | 41c | 103.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Bucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…00c4backed Cavaliers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…5163backed Cavaliers | 48c | 94.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…cb5dbacked Bucks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Cavaliers | 21c | 89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Cavaliers | 33c | 70.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…d88ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Bucks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.