TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f47…af93backed Pacers62c12,346$7,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.651968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons27c11,897$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.7361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons38c7,640$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.5647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers79c5,608$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.2970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons33c5,040$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.8565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Pistons33c4,458$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.299248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ab…7f03backed Pistons38c4,352$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Pistons60c3,325$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Pacers65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Pacers67c2,812$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8510462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Pacers75c2,253$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.472254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x793a…197abacked Pacers64c1,632$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Pacers66c1,562$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e785backed Pistons36c1,549$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4a…950dbacked Pacers67c1,251$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc522…5173backed Pistons37c1,250$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc559…f430backed Pacers64c1,245$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbab…ae77backed Pistons36c1,172$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…4d55backed Pacers64c1,123$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…1d02backed Pistons36c1,107$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Pacers68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.491361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2008…db34backed Pistons36c1,010$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Pistons34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Pistons65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Pistons34c999.89$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1d…5bf5backed Pacers69c992.44$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…41f3backed Pistons35c893$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2845…3af9backed Pacers67c892.75$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Pacers67c891.06$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.881060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Pacers65c769.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a68…003abacked Pacers66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Pacers78c747.99$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.475366%35 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Pacers69c679.75$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.751931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Pacers66c662.68$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3113857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Pacers66c624.94$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.946851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons2c624$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f09…50cebacked Pacers34c611.06$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae5…2306backed Pacers68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…0850backed Pistons34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e34…ab65backed Pacers41c584.21$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da9…7120backed Pacers64c570.63$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.431471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe458…a937backed Pistons35c542.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603070%21 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x442b…5410backed Pacers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pacers64c468.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5114057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba31…2965backed Pistons11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Pacers51c387.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Pistons34c371.43$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…448ebacked Pistons37c344.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…e78cbacked Pacers38c341.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Pistons33c314.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Pistons36c308.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Pacers64c307.88$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1156…f8adbacked Pacers64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Pistons36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08d0…751dbacked Pistons34c299.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Pacers67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Pacers66c284.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Pistons40c283.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.162425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef79…96dcbacked Pistons42c270$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Pacers68c257.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.354854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Pistons32c255$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Pacers64c222.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Pistons33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.357337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Pistons33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.353342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Pacers63c190.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.747958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…3a25backed Pacers72c184.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.171625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd03c…218ebacked Pistons36c183.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Pistons46c177.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.635257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Pacers60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Pacers66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.81145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…4e95backed Pacers42c154.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.763751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8e…2bf2backed Pacers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked Pacers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Pacers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d6…2a65backed Pistons36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x957e…da1ebacked Pistons36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pacers68c138.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.385856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…5459backed Pacers65c129.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Pistons45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224c…eb44backed Pacers48c124.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Pacers67c117.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.721560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Pacers67c110.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.34862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Pacers66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.064472.7%32 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Pistons38c105.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4523833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Pacers65c104.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.498658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Pacers67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Pacers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Pacers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c5…28e5backed Pacers69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676e…8aa7backed Pacers31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b30…7cf1backed Pacers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Pacers67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d4e…d2c8backed Pacers65c99.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…3d26backed Pacers65c99.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.