Us Politics · resolved market
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795e95b5f4d8b932ba710fd59a72b757b5e6ca899f6377c43170c101a4b92c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 3c | 40,021$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 2c | 28,029$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.24 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 24,653$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.95 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c00…026fbacked Yes | 6c | 13,331$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…fc75backed Yes | 6c | 8,562$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 8,400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Yes | 6c | 8,158$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 7c | 8,129$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,458$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…a027backed Yes | 15c | 6,713$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 6,625$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 8c | 4,675$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 4,582$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 11c | 4,574$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…1449backed Yes | 2c | 3,816$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…48e5backed Yes | 3c | 3,363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…6b55backed Yes | 3c | 3,327$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 3,250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…0f4cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,167$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,983$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…6e09backed Yes | 2c | 2,706$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,633$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,475$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f2c1backed Yes | 4c | 2,440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 2,400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d383backed Yes | 2c | 2,210$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 9c | 2,150$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…c43cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,041$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…07b4backed Yes | 14c | 1,828$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,721$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…f43dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,638$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 9c | 1,587$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,560$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…e381backed Yes | 4c | 1,550$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,353$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc6…3c56backed Yes | 7c | 1,315$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…e4dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,168$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15de…356cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,067$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ea…33d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,004$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…84e8backed Yes | 18c | 947.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…0312backed Yes | 4c | 799.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 5c | 786.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked Yes | 6c | 726.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 8c | 636.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…ef03backed Yes | 9c | 633.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff08…a723backed Yes | 17c | 580.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…8e34backed Yes | 7c | 552.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…177fbacked Yes | 4c | 544.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…7d36backed Yes | 2c | 534.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5855…12aebacked Yes | 10c | 520.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 10c | 520.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 3c | 500.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…b8edbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 5c | 484$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 3c | 450$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 9c | 444.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 429.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…06a2backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…a91ebacked Yes | 13c | 386.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…8600backed Yes | 10c | 383.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 379.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 5c | 330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…cbd8backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…cdaebacked Yes | 8c | 259.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…4f04backed Yes | 10c | 254.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd53…66eebacked Yes | 12c | 253.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…4908backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…ce21backed Yes | 8c | 238.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…a0b1backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…55b5backed Yes | 6c | 194.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f350backed Yes | 8c | 180.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 8c | 179.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5cabbacked Yes | 8c | 170.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 6c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 10c | 156.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297f…6e57backed Yes | 9c | 125.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 10c | 113.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 27c | 111.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…da66backed Yes | 18c | 109.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…019cbacked Yes | 14c | 80.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 14c | 71.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.