Us Politics · resolved market
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45abd0cf43d9f089050e7637a86ca199f12b23d8feb7f263132e141fe1048007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 2c | 44,474$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.72 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 3c | 21,170$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.88 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 3c | 20,696$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.83 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5510…2083backed Yes | 4c | 16,527$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 1c | 15,092$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 3c | 13,609$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 3c | 11,801$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…9adcbacked Yes | 4c | 11,615$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 2c | 10,838$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…64c1backed Yes | 3c | 10,478$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…74f3backed Yes | 3c | 9,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…2babbacked Yes | 2c | 9,390$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 3c | 8,824$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 8,803$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,449$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 1c | 8,272$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 3c | 7,629$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…68e3backed Yes | 3c | 7,601$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 2c | 7,168$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 3c | 6,006$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,764$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9328…0e02backed Yes | 4c | 5,352$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,982$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 4,887$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,670$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 3c | 3,665$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,502$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 3c | 3,328$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…c256backed Yes | 4c | 2,838$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 2c | 2,504$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 2,386$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,047$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 4c | 1,930$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,845$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 3c | 1,535$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,487$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…496abacked Yes | 1c | 1,466$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 3c | 1,430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,352$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Yes | 3c | 1,330$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,245$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 3c | 1,243$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…961abacked Yes | 5c | 1,191$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…e5aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 4c | 999.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…5e65backed Yes | 5c | 959.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…f036backed Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 3c | 935.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…d5fcbacked Yes | 3c | 764.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…fdc3backed Yes | 4c | 741.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 721.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…47aabacked Yes | 3c | 686.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…9c4cbacked Yes | 3c | 681.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…69efbacked Yes | 4c | 650.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…c42abacked Yes | 3c | 649.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 2c | 649.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…7207backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a4…05f5backed Yes | 4c | 615.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 3c | 599.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 519.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes | 3c | 499.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…fdcbbacked Yes | 3c | 492.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…27fcbacked Yes | 6c | 465.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 465$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…2925backed Yes | 3c | 452.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…951abacked Yes | 4c | 440$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 9c | 424.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…a8ebbacked Yes | 3c | 415$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 3c | 411$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 401.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddd…a40bbacked Yes | 3c | 355.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…aaffbacked Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…3318backed Yes | 3c | 333.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 5c | 318.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Yes | 3c | 316.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 4c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 4c | 278.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.