World Politics · resolved market
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822590e516b60893529d1344366f45f7a97ee2874fee905e8a5432db1ff36ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,235,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,193,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,235,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 8c | 617,838$48,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,332.48 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 11c | 90,000$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.04 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 11c | 18,955$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.1 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 9c | 15,555$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 23c | 8,862$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 15c | 6,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 14c | 6,178$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.01 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,516$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.69 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 12c | 4,987$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 4,937$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,600$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,570$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 1c | 4,390$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 12c | 3,900$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,765$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.28 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +1,305.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…fd71backed Yes | 14c | 3,634$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…32abbacked Yes | 12c | 3,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 3,562$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…3520backed Yes | 1c | 3,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d25cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,051$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…d487backed Yes | 9c | 2,901$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…816abacked Yes | 10c | 2,264$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 7c | 2,117$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 9c | 1,950$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…0418backed Yes | 12c | 1,675$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 72c | 1,499$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 11c | 1,380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 11c | 1,369$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…62bebacked Yes | 10c | 1,341$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…b6e6backed Yes | 9c | 1,228$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 12c | 1,111$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 18c | 1,080$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 25c | 920.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 854.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a8…59b0backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 825.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 815$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…0559backed Yes | 11c | 654.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…0762backed Yes | 11c | 641$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 12c | 628.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 10c | 606.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…4316backed Yes | 13c | 599.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 10c | 561.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 15c | 545.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 7c | 535.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 17c | 501.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…b448backed Yes | 12c | 417.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 12c | 370$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 6c | 341.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…293fbacked Yes | 6c | 305.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 19cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 11c | 300.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…5efdbacked Yes | 14c | 296.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 15c | 286.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…6638backed Yes | 11c | 263.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 6c | 249.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 11c | 227.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…caccbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…d49fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 16c | 177.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fb…a441backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 41c | 42.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?this page
- Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Yes won
- Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.