MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29e574df87ba4368085a32cff6230175b901ccd2b3133b3f5c18d14ded228c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,088,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,088,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,088,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 36c | 770,446$277,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277,297.49 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 534,012$341,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,244.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 64c | 141,889$90,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,079.99 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 64c | 61,748$39,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,241.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 34c | 28,002$9,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.11 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 36c | 27,011$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Orioles | 36c | 22,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 66c | 19,873$13,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.75 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 64c | 16,808$10,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 36c | 15,237$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.61 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 33c | 11,402$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.34 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 37c | 10,325$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.66 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Sox | 65c | 9,380$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 35c | 8,565$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.55 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Sox | 64c | 7,805$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.4 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 64c | 6,924$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.64 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 64c | 6,161$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.31 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 57c | 5,216$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.29 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Orioles | 35c | 5,002$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Red Sox | 66c | 4,575$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.52 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 69c | 4,398$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Red Sox | 64c | 4,388$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.11 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 64c | 4,030$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Red Sox | 65c | 3,755$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 3,736$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Red Sox | 75c | 3,100$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 66c | 3,037$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Red Sox | 79c | 2,600$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Orioles | 36c | 2,165$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.37 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Orioles | 36c | 1,886$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Orioles | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,463$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.06 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,400$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.1 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 64c | 1,230$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 28c | 1,157$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Orioles | 36c | 1,117$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.23 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Orioles | 37c | 1,107$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 35c | 1,101$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.34 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Orioles | 44c | 1,076$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.76 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…3381backed Orioles | 37c | 1,043$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Orioles | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Red Sox | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…babebacked Orioles | 37c | 957$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Red Sox | 63c | 954$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 65c | 952$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec0…08ecbacked Red Sox | 63c | 946$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Orioles | 37c | 943$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Red Sox | 65c | 934.45$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Red Sox | 65c | 903.45$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.21 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 36c | 833$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 36c | 832.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Red Sox | 72c | 802.29$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Red Sox | 63c | 796.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Orioles | 35c | 761.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 35c | 749.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 35c | 746.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 53c | 742.72$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 62c | 739.03$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Red Sox | 63c | 625$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.25 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 44c | 588.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Orioles | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 38c | 536.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 35c | 518.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 69c | 501.57$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Orioles | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 39c | 467$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 64c | 409$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 65c | 408.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Red Sox | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 386.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Red Sox | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 65c | 373.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 37c | 333.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 62c | 323.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 61c | 319.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Red Sox | 65c | 303.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 36c | 302.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Orioles | 45c | 300.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Orioles | 33c | 299.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Orioles | 36c | 294.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 10c | 290.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Red Sox | 44c | 288.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…e801backed Red Sox | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 261.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Oriolesthis page
- Red Sox vs. Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.