Earnings · resolved market
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054b10920231dbc3b41bf0d490d76e81d5509259a8d0c89f5321fbfe3eac075f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 43c | 972.77$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.62 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 34c | 624.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.57 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed No | 57c | 225.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 206.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…d5d3backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 21c | 135.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked No | 37c | 108.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 12c | 107.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed No | 56c | 104.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 63c | 89.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 34c | 73.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed No | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…98eebacked Yes | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 19c | 58.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…ef66backed Yes | 75c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 55.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…c57fbacked No | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 25c | 48.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…84e8backed Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed Yes | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…a3adbacked No | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 41.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 62c | 36.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 59c | 33.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…06ebbacked Yes | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 65c | 31.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…ff22backed Yes | 79c | 31.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33e…c2ddbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2224backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed No | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 23.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…1e14backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.