Movies · resolved market
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa045a625ad72a8386afcb2d21f33cd8c73a62d062b07e6187b8034f678ded220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 39c | 9,425$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 20c | 5,729$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed No | 39c | 4,774$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.93 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked No | 43c | 4,588$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 19c | 4,170$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 3,063$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.65 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 30c | 2,289$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…8650backed Yes | 41c | 1,784$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 10c | 1,675$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,666$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.18 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 45c | 1,466$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.09 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…2235backed Yes | 29c | 1,436$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3de4backed Yes | 16c | 1,400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 14c | 1,360$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…5bbfbacked Yes | 73c | 1,336$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed Yes | 35c | 1,218$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 68c | 1,149$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.13 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 30c | 1,115$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,031$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…6563backed Yes | 14c | 996.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 40c | 894.2$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…7979backed Yes | 69c | 783.1$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…d5bcbacked Yes | 13c | 710.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 30c | 702.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 38c | 680.71$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Yes | 45c | 654.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 48c | 619.86$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 9c | 584.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…e66fbacked Yes | 73c | 495.66$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 381.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 41c | 374.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 66c | 335.81$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 75c | 319.19$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 22c | 303$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…64c8backed Yes | 78c | 302.05$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 40c | 266.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…db5ebacked No | 44c | 256$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked Yes | 33c | 252.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed No | 49c | 228.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…1f44backed Yes | 65c | 210$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…9346backed Yes | 77c | 208$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…da14backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 12c | 199.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 199.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…379dbacked Yes | 24c | 190.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 174.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…31d4backed Yes | 35c | 172.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…b2e0backed Yes | 9c | 172.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 61c | 168.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83cd…dbadbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…d7f0backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 61c | 145.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…9488backed Yes | 69c | 143.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 70c | 143.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed No | 30c | 141.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ce…001ebacked Yes | 76c | 133.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…e05bbacked Yes | 21c | 128.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…a3adbacked No | 31c | 118.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 17c | 117.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b8…1133backed Yes | 74c | 105.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 78c | 100.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…e0e9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…768dbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed Yes | 73c | 95.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3163backed Yes | 16c | 94.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 34c | 88.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 33c | 85.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 22c | 78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…f2d1backed Yes | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 63c | 75.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…7777backed Yes | 73c | 68.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 63.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…af2bbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 52.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…a9d1backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 34c | 48.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 23c | 45.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 79c | 44.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…89d4backed Yes | 65c | 41.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…66b6backed Yes | 68c | 39.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…cec5backed No | 43c | 38.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked No | 33c | 37.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…740bbacked Yes | 75c | 37.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked Yes | 65c | 36.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…1a34backed Yes | 73c | 34.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…932ebacked No | 37c | 34.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 33c | 33.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 53c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 32.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 76c | 29.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…333bbacked Yes | 74c | 26.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…6729backed Yes | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9fa5backed Yes | 70c | 25.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…02c1backed Yes | 69c | 25.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)Yes won
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.