Movies · resolved market
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ec7ff1965fd9607b71df71c605433d38290526dc4e1d4466ada1148ffeed61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 36c | 12,303$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked Yes | 44c | 3,320$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 42c | 2,908$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 31c | 2,287$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.78 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 52c | 2,081$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.32 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 22c | 1,308$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.42 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 61c | 1,240$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…8d93backed No | 66c | 1,195$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 67c | 1,096$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 62c | 895.82$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.03 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…5572backed No | 29c | 881.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 28c | 832$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.95 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 44c | 830$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.54 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 14c | 797$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3de4backed No | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…db5ebacked Yes | 46c | 542.26$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…b313backed No | 20c | 507.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 41c | 460.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…c36bbacked No | 74c | 460.48$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…5124backed Yes | 40c | 442.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 66c | 433.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.12 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bffabacked No | 56c | 398.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…04a2backed No | 78c | 319.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…379dbacked No | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…cec5backed Yes | 36c | 291$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed No | 17c | 290.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed No | 36c | 279.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…135cbacked No | 43c | 247$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…d5bcbacked No | 14c | 245.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…e66fbacked No | 74c | 241.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 29c | 232.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 65c | 218.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 11c | 200.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…da14backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 34c | 178$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked No | 35c | 175.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 30c | 167.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed No | 78c | 162$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 29c | 145.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…22b1backed No | 63c | 145$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…9488backed No | 70c | 142.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 77c | 130.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 70c | 130.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4d12backed No | 79c | 127.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 20c | 126.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…d7f0backed No | 80c | 125.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…1f44backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 78c | 120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked No | 70c | 114.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 57c | 110.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…c0f9backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…a838backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 46c | 98.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 71c | 95.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 27c | 95.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654e…a835backed No | 34c | 88.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…13d6backed No | 40c | 87.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed No | 12c | 87.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 85.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 85.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…9996backed No | 69c | 70.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed No | 50c | 62.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…6780backed No | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…c12cbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…31d4backed No | 69c | 57.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…e1e2backed Yes | 30c | 56.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…0d8bbacked No | 30c | 56.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 52c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 53.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 39c | 48.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 43.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…66b6backed No | 69c | 43.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 56c | 42.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 78c | 38.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…f7f0backed No | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed No | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 76c | 30.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…c4f3backed No | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…7e36backed No | 79c | 27.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…720ebacked No | 53c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…ff55backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 70c | 18.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed No | 64c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…7c4ebacked No | 69c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)this page
- Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.