South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278ed2a653a80cf0f87afa2fd2212c757cfadb01fcdbe0a8bb324749712a0ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.99 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 47c | 3,348$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 2,982$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.46 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 970.11$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.31 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 46c | 833.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 803$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 55c | 549$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 55c | 549$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 224.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 53c | 189.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 53c | 186.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 176.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 22c | 97.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 44c | 68.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 35c | 56.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f5bdbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…e238backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 43.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5d15backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 34c | 32.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 53c | 24.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed No | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.