TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No33c59,999$19,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,649.8711445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes60c38,177$22,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,201.713650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c4,618$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.052,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes59c4,071$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.554264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes74c3,152$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.151,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes51c1,818$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.912268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes78c1,272$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.79785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes51c1,070$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8269851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c964.5$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.871,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No19c946.54$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4340744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No38c908.82$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3438050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No49c872.45$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.578158%47 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes70c717.54$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes51c478.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.439043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes51c383.51$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.925457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes51c376.92$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6914055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes54c292.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c281.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8633047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes73c276.71$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.711353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c245$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.73935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes68c216.17$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7164043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8824050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+199.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No48c199.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.995556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No10c199$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No55c166$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.312460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes50c161.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5520845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9af0…a4d3backed No51c149.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed Yes50c148.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No49c143.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4710244.1%45 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes50c125.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5449647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.816343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes76c109.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.333450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c101$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9962452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe378…148ebacked Yes79c87.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No17c82.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.594257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.217456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Yes50c74.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No57c70.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1816056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef4f…f50dbacked No48c61.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.220251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes47c59.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.567032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No50c48.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.336937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c47.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce1…7572backed No53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes65c45.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9153140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes73c44.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.932975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c43.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No55c40.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3316464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick38cpaid+117.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc363…8845backed Yes51c39.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.03955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No27c38.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.176046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c36.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.849143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes76c35.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.565955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes73c34.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c33.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5619458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No62c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.225648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e6…cd30backed Yes52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…5828backed No49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked No50c29.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c29.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2111447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes79c26.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No50c26.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.156746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Yes73c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No47c23.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114d…661fbacked Yes55c20.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25429.6%16 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Yes79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.