Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd35051fc42d682f30ea8ea1b3ebed5dc9848aef8cce678dedf2051be043b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 3,017$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.29 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 78c | 2,630$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.59 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,460$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,847$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.19 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,516$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 78c | 1,474$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 1,140$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,075$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 758.97$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 25c | 294.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 281.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 265.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 26c | 156.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 93.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 22c | 74.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 25c | 74.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 59.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 24c | 49.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 42.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 25c | 40.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 76c | 30.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 76c | 24.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 76c | 24.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.