South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037d15f202b2dc5db5c8874e9f90fbf222e9fb45b8501c9d1f568a7642438187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.97 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 46c | 3,070$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 46c | 1,330$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.75 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.02 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Yes | 57c | 1,145$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 772.15$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 2c | 749.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 26c | 711.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 574.44$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…5045backed Yes | 54c | 555.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 546.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 483$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 480.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 299.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 260.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 55c | 236.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 54c | 221.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 218.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 56c | 213.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 48c | 208.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 7c | 189.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 163.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 141.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 116.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 53c | 113.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 55c | 102.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 52c | 88.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 73c | 72.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 71.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 67.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 51c | 63.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 56c | 63.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 54c | 60.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 65c | 51.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 32c | 51.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed Yes | 54c | 48.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…6710backed No | 47c | 43.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 79c | 27.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Yes | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 68c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…4a1bbacked Yes | 80c | 15.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-02-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.