South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb6456ef38d6a2beedcb3ae99932a460804c1b81d87f47c23a67d50503df61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 65c | 20,000$12,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked No | 35c | 5,563$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 36c | 4,086$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 35c | 2,757$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.89 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,746$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 2,259$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.63 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 1,109$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 36c | 785.73$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.86 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 63c | 709.52$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 63c | 668.25$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 657.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 567.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 35c | 510.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 36c | 429$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 394.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 368$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 206.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 35c | 192.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 61c | 158.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked No | 40c | 142.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 36c | 108.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed Yes | 61c | 76.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…4871backed Yes | 61c | 68.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 64.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 60.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 51.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 35c | 49.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…00bebacked No | 35c | 43.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 67c | 40.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 74c | 37.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 45c | 35.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 35c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 36c | 28.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 40c | 26.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 78c | 21.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will CA Boston River win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.