Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1a21279f62b675f1239f339165266810d584f8e2c7c794c361b4e8bce159bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,021$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 1,993$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.93 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 12c | 1,435$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,239$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 59c | 1,077$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.42 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,076$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 511.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…6c3abacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 26c | 462$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 426.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 266.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 250.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 247.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 26c | 238$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 208.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 38c | 154.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 20c | 152$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 151.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 151.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 150.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 41c | 108.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 14c | 103$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +116%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Yes | 27c | 102.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 96.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 78.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 64.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 64.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 63.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 67c | 51.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 41.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 68c | 39.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Yes | 76c | 39.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed No | 74c | 36.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed No | 74c | 34.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 32c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…0e12backed Yes | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed No | 74c | 30.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 68c | 25.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 75c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.