Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6f77d680ed504176c1006268829e1e37272ca860cfaf144a5054a96afbe163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 5,757$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,150$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.47 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,832$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 2,740$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,122$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.06 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 1,355$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 36c | 1,094$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.12 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 912.21$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 895.36$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 43c | 890.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 56c | 841.65$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.29 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…d02ebacked Yes | 72c | 709.36$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 593.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 478$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 422.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.23 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 26c | 418.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 3c | 402.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 378.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.16 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 368.7$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.12 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes | 76c | 313.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 248.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 243$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 26c | 228.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 25c | 192.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 189.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 118.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 115.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 74c | 80.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 79.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…ea16backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 63c | 63.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 20c | 50.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 37c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 53c | 24.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 52c | 19.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 18.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 72c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.