Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da295a8944df822c1369454144030d9145f71dda83c5d13e0595358d9aefe64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 28c | 20,313$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625.07 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 7,730$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 4,486$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.89 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,755$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 2,261$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,901$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 7c | 1,782$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 1,627$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 1,454$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 5c | 1,277$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 64c | 1,036$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.63 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 930.95$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 897.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 766$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 666$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 531.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 495.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 420.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 398.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…79aabacked No | 51c | 227.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…1efbbacked Yes | 50c | 195.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 190.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 183.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c7backed Yes | 50c | 176.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…f978backed No | 51c | 155.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…42d8backed No | 51c | 143.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 49c | 123.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 51c | 97.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 90.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 29c | 80.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 35c | 77.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…cb5dbacked No | 53c | 70.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 50.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…0cbdbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 42c | 39.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…d869backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 75c | 38.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 35.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 34.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 51c | 25.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 72c | 19.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.