TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c55,473$41,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,014.413844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Yes26c43,071$11,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,800.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c41,342$16,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,803.624,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes26c21,180$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,673.24938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Yes26c19,600$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5042740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c15,450$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,268.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c15,409$11,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,248.333050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes27c15,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,95017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…26bebacked Yes26c14,302$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,567.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+131.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes14c9,209$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.743641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes26c9,048$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,695.526243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c8,896$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.392,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes14c8,834$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,602.881442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c8,206$6,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,051.175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c7,684$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.6369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No61c7,615$4,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No74c6,923$5,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.011952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Yes27c5,880$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes4c5,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d1…9cdcbacked Yes27c4,816$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c4,203$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.0657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c4,153$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c4,115$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.9541751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No74c4,020$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.3712546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No59c3,956$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.541020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes37c3,429$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes14c3,251$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.866839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Yes3c3,250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+1,103.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Yes3c3,250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+1,705.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c3,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,042.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Yes2c2,886$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.48250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,159.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No73c2,766$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.25448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…3b8abacked Yes26c2,629$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c2,515$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.91,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No73c2,276$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.082958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes8c2,175$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.292352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes22c2,132$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.741040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes24c2,128$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.285230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c2,116$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.9118956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes26c1,860$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.176023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes17c1,815$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.2399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes14c1,788$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No74c1,490$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c1,268$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.21,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No75c1,254$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.454148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No62c1,159$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,138$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.4683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed Yes26c1,055$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+243.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c1,016$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.721,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No74c1,000$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73511822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No68c999.98$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed No73c999.97$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes54c838.64$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No53c812.56$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7725backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.742040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ede…0a84backed Yes25c699.97$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes18c663.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3715051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No73c658$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.198947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes43c656.34$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.3811251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c648.26$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.21,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes44c634.06$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0611154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No27c630.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2623232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes26c580$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c563$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c550$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes44c528.52$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1715660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No71c508.22$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.242147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No40c459.11$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9121950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.443847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…09c7backed Yes32c414.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb0…d1aabacked Yes27c410.04$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes39c409.28$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2210843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes54c408.22$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes27c407.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes43c399.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6527758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes26c384.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+135.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x532e…cb12backed Yes26c358$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+277.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes34c337$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes17c321.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8410254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c286$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c281.73$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c260$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c252$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No74c218.53$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7119632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…f00dbacked Yes26c212.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14815344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No11c199.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b97…0f17backed Yes27c194$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes17c182.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.763053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes17c177$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c176.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7244039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.