TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes43c40,000$17,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,867.9310952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No57c21,567$12,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,293.195240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes36c17,598$6,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,272.922828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c13,865$8,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,831.651,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c4,880$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes42c3,088$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7906155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No49c2,168$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.0313639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes37c1,411$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.844259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c1,248$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.1733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No73c1,161$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.2612050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No58c1,060$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes27c1,038$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.618334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c983.73$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c778$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No9c642.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.220033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes42c599$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c543.31$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No58c503.2$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes43c499.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.497631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No3c459.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes42c358.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.938659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1426744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c344$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No54c335$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.914742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.159054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c264$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No70c251.95$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes44c234.09$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.098041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c232.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes58c230.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Yes46c205.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.932060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes28c198.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes42c185.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8112923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes38c164.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No57c153.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3812657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes43c144$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.086055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Yes41c140$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes42c129.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.261752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No60c128.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c128$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No53c124$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.929643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97a…dbe3backed No64c120.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.117147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d8…2b8dbacked No64c78.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No65c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed No71c65.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed No61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes28c57.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+106.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf573…5910backed Yes47c53.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7f…8c2abacked No65c52.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b2…47f7backed Yes29c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No69c34.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9817948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No63c31.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed No64c30.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Yes42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ce…e4b6backed No64c27.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0413648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ac…de06backed Yes48c25.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.759456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No54c24.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.338948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f0…6f2abacked No65c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4022…f352backed No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No56c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.094146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No59c17.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.