Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8671753e16b9fe2fee04654b93f1fbc5a27ea9ca71564bae0d4908bb8d448b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 29,083$8,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,668.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 69c | 21,074$14,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.09 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 8,138$5,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.29 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,043$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.38 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,403$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 32c | 759.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 512.17$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 435.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 384$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 351$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 75c | 334.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 268.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 262.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 17c | 230.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 27c | 205.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…2808backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 170.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 155.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 30c | 147.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 110.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 105.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…d074backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 71c | 64.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 31c | 44.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…de06backed No | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-22?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.