Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaeb3f5cd395f113c3dcd5feca308a31670d8df58c3256b80e3871e9c3a560a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 11c | 15,823$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.44 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 6,100$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 11c | 3,990$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 10c | 3,586$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,951$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.03 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,631$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,590$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…1b14backed Yes | 12c | 1,520$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,152$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 752.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 584$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 15c | 501.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 479.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 14c | 318.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 14c | 315.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 14c | 304$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 10c | 243.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 10c | 201.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…5194backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 17c | 169.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 12c | 167$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…8b25backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.