Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fbffdf1749fc5644b26d77f5e5788b0602f63a423dbb07b35230841c1506200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,787$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,708$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 17c | 1,067$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 14c | 913.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 38c | 670.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 14c | 635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 604.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 28c | 466.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 27c | 441.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 70c | 435$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 14c | 277.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Yes | 14c | 265$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 18c | 178.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…c52cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +284.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 70c | 96.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 14c | 78.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.