Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97002de0ca59a999547e6d55d8ae158a7296ddf77e5a8b36daa04fa8f3699e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dzumhurof Dzumhur, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Kovacevic | 70c | 3,563$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.96 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Dzumhur | 54c | 2,458$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.13 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…03b8backed Kovacevic | 48c | 2,368$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Dzumhur | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.45 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Dzumhur | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Kovacevic | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…811ebacked Kovacevic | 49c | 1,555$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…9f8fbacked Dzumhur | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…db92backed Dzumhur | 52c | 1,459$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…c9f0backed Kovacevic | 3c | 1,002$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…2ed5backed Dzumhur | 52c | 912$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kovacevic | 51c | 758.53$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Kovacevic | 49c | 508.88$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dzumhur | 33c | 398.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kovacevic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kovacevic | 45c | 344.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Dzumhur | 25c | 338.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Kovacevic | 45c | 299.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Dzumhur | 55c | 284.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Kovacevic | 74c | 270.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Kovacevic | 49c | 269.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kovacevic | 34c | 268.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Dzumhur | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Dzumhur | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kovacevic | 50c | 199.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Kovacevic | 51c | 194.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kovacevic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Dzumhur | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dzumhur | 47c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Kovacevic | 43c | 126.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Dzumhur | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…3de4backed Kovacevic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kovacevic | 51c | 96.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…f598backed Kovacevic | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…5095backed Dzumhur | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Kovacevic | 51c | 78.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Dzumhur | 58c | 68.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Dzumhur | 59c | 59.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Kovacevic | 52c | 53.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…79fabacked Dzumhur | 56c | 43.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Kovacevic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Kovacevic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…b9f7backed Kovacevic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Dzumhur | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Kovacevic | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Kovacevic | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…5233backed Kovacevic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4f52backed Kovacevic | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…f13bbacked Dzumhur | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Dzumhur | 57c | 26.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Dzumhur | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Dzumhur | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.