Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jesper de Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4458ad4f118aab8fc4a63bb2310d92a3bd09983c53da57e6c0a76ab2ffea78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Jong | 22c | 3,898$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Etcheverry | 76c | 3,301$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.3 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Jong | 43c | 2,182$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.33 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Etcheverry | 57c | 1,950$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.31 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Etcheverry | 64c | 1,450$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Jong | 36c | 1,450$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Etcheverry | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jong | 36c | 972.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Jong | 47c | 900$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jong | 36c | 146.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Etcheverry | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Etcheverry | 56c | 90.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Jong | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Etcheverry | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Etcheverry | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Etcheverry | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…c9f0backed Jong | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.