South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e9901c394e6aa7b40ea342267d7717ca20f80ddcd46bf16e0f31aa8484f624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 5,946$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.69 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 5,740$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 67c | 1,567$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,565$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,348$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,238$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 494.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 33c | 291.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 265.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 25c | 235.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 66c | 185$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 32c | 149.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 62c | 111.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 34c | 110.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 69c | 72.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 67c | 71.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 58.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 29c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 61c | 43.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed No | 69c | 38.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 70c | 30.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3023backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed No | 62c | 20.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.