South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f8fd9d6694bec4b3e8f7b67d7ce84654adca94fed337472da5c82bcc5a2438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 1,322$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 33c | 1,239$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 1,223$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 783.96$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 657.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…c97cbacked Yes | 32c | 314.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 23c | 246.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 186.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 30c | 149.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 70c | 79.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…ce44backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…6abfbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Yes | 20c | 53.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 30c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…bf59backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…0e34backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…ad75backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…03f4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…7ec7backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…fc70backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.