South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a03c3a0115b737132590cf119e63fea458a9b81fe02cd46f1ce2e0102678463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,515$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 1,247$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 62c | 760$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.2 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 582.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 454.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 78c | 449.59$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 424.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 26c | 359.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 222.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 65c | 201$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 64c | 152$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 34c | 110.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 36c | 89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Yes | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 49c | 50.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 49.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 63c | 39.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 31.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…bc09backed Yes | 76c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.