Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a24955ca1cfb83f47d6a558bfe5568e77188373341101fa482f5dafab1fbe0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Auburn Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars | 76c | 3,392$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Auburn Tigers | 24c | 2,921$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Auburn Tigers | 25c | 2,050$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Cougars | 75c | 1,885$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.82 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Houston Cougars | 76c | 1,831$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Auburn Tigers | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Houston Cougars | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers | 24c | 666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Auburn Tigers | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Auburn Tigers | 24c | 412$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Auburn Tigers | 23c | 288$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Houston Cougars | 76c | 219$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Houston Cougars | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Auburn Tigers | 19c | 167.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Auburn Tigers | 23c | 141$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Auburn Tigers | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Auburn Tigers | 18c | 113.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn Tigers | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Auburn Tigers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…11cdbacked Auburn Tigers | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Auburn Tigers | 24c | 59.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Auburn Tigers | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7ddfbacked Auburn Tigers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Auburn Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Houston Cougars | 59c | 44.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Houston Cougars | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Houston Cougars | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigersthis page
- Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-6.5)Auburn Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-7.5)Auburn Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.